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Hydrology and Climate Change

 






CYCLONE PREDICTION MODELS

CLIPER 

CLIPER is the only purely statistical model still in use. The acronym stands for CLImatology and PERsistence. The only inputs to CLIPER are the storm's current and previous positions, its motion and intensity, and the time of the year. Because CLIPER knows nothing about the meteorological situation, forecasters use it as a "no skill" prediction against which other models are judged. It is designed as a statistical regression equation based on past data and current climatological data. This was the major forecasting model used up until the 1980's.

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