Skip to main content

Ten most used computer models for prediction of cyclonic storms


  

Why Computer Models for Cyclonic Storms?

According to the average of all forecasts, 17 tropical storms will form in 2021, eight of which will intensify into hurricanes. The average number of storms per year is 14, of which seven develop into hurricanes "... More information is available at NBC,2021. How did they forecast? Using various computer models that are known to be efficient and reliable in approximating the track, intensity, and timing of cyclonic storms. The accuracy of these models contributes to the prevention of fatalities and the severity of property damage. In this presentation, I tried to draw attention to the ten most popular models in this field, which were instrumental in saving millions of lives and preserving their way of life. 

Climate Prediction Model


It should be noted that no single model is capable of predicting such stochastic phenomena. As a result, multiple models are used to approximate the occurrence, track, and intensity of a cyclonic storm (any storm having more than 79mph wind speed is known as a Cyclonic Storm).

See the above presentation or click on the link below:


@Mrinmoy

Popular posts from this blog

Seven Most Tenable Application of Artificial Intelligence on Water Resource Management Problems

AI or Artificial Intelligence is a pioneering technique that has enabled the creation of intelligent machines. or smart machines which have the power to self adapt based on the situation presented to them. It requires situations whose response is known and based on this training data set it learns the problems which it has to solve when it is ready. Due to the alarming success with AI in robotics, electronics, etc fields the same technique is now used to solve the problems of water resource management. This ppt shows the seven most notable use of AI in water resources-based problems where satisfactory improvement has encouraged the further application of the technique. View the Presentation Dr.Mrinmoy Majumder, My ResearchGate Id : Mrinmoy_Majumder Home Page: http://www.mrinmoymajumder.com   Author of: Lecture Notes on MCDM Indian Link  ; Global Link :

Eight most common impurities observed in water supplied to domestic households

The water supplied to domestic households has many types of contaminants which have the potential to create health irregularities in the consumer family. Among these contaminants, eight most common impurities were identified, and the type of filter which can remove or reduce them was delineated in the figure. Before procuring a water filter remember to see this chart. It will help to understand the impurities that the selected water filter can remove. Any water filters available in the market are generally made of one or more of these filters. To decide wisely use the concepts of MCDM to select your filters. Compare the filters available in the market with respect to Cost, Contaminant Removal Efficiency, Maintenance requirement, and type of filters used and rate each filter based on these factors with the help of AHP or ANP techniques. The result will be the filter that will be most efficient for your use. You can also use the ODM tool to come to a decision regarding the procurement o

Five Most Extreme Hydrologic Events that changed the World

Typhoon Tip, Philipines(Collected from : CSMonitor ) Devastating storms, severe flood, acute famine conditions, etc. hydrological events of extreme nature has changed human history. Any event which is not normal is known as an abnormal event. In the case of hydrology, an event that has a return period of more than 100 years is considered Extreme. According to Herring(2020) of Climate.gov, "An extreme event is a time and place in which weather, climate, or environmental conditions—such as temperature, precipitation, drought, or flooding—rank above a threshold value near the upper or lower ends of the range of historical measurements." Though the threshold is not objective, few researchers have defined "extreme events as those that occur in the highest or lowest 5% or 10% of historical measurements". Some have described events by their deviation from the mean, or by their occurrence interval.   Here the most severe five extreme hydrologic events were discussed which